Piallata contro Cubs inguardabili in tutto. Il momento più esaltante della partita è stato quando, vista la presenza di Jack Nicholson al Citizen, Phanatic è arrivato davanti a lui vestito da Batman!
Questo Happ è impossibile averlo ancora, pure Kendrick ai tempi aveva avuto momenti di grazia che avevano fatto gridare al miracolo e periodicamente li ha anche Myers e così capita un po' a tutti i pitcher durante l'anno. Quando questo avviene a stat pulite e non su frame in mezzo ad una stagione mediocre fa molto più effetto.
A Renè rispondo che si la trade la faccio perchè non valuto l'eccezione durante la mia scelta:
Chi ci dice che si debba normalizzare da domani e non magari semplicemente dall'anno prossimo?
la risposta e che non lo so esattamente come non so se buttandomi dal balcone esco illeso come a volte raramente si legge tra le notizie curiose o se cado nella tromba dell'ascensore non trovandola al piano semplicemente però agisco seguendo la statistica. (Ho risposto a Renè per spiegarmi con Philly)
Myers: pare possa rientrare a metà agosto, non come partente, ma dal bullpen, nel 2007 come closer ha 21 SV su 24 SVO e 83 SO in 68.2 IP, premesso che dovremo vedere come torna da un punto di vista fisico ( dato che non se ne parla di fare il partente!), ma che Disastro Lidge abbia poco meno di un mese per mettersi in carreggiata?
LEE: pare un interessamento dei Phillies per Lee degli Indians se non si dovesse concludere per Halladay......anche in questo caso hanno messo in mezzo sempre il povero Happ.....
Phils win 10th straight on Werth's walk-off!
Blanton, 'pen stifle Cubs, set stage for 13th-inning heroics!
continua il momento magico dei ragazzi: ancora una prova maiuscola per Ciccio Formaggio ( 7ip 5h 5so 1r), Park (3ip 0r 5 So), perfino Disastro lancia per un inning immacolato e che dire dell'eroe di giornata Giasone che al 13' inning con un 3-Hr ci regala la 10 W consecutiva!
era da 8 anni che non si vincevano 10 partite consecutive
Solo Atlanta tiene se pur a distanza il nostro passo
stasera ore 19 di Lodi tutti ad ammirare i World Champions: per noi Nonno Moyer per loro un signor pitcher, Zambrano!
Last edited by Phillies on 22/07/2009, 11:25, edited 1 time in total.
[glow=red,2,300]per Voi amanti delle statistiche from PhilliesNation.com: [/glow] Assuming Roy Halladay does not become a Phillie within the next ten days, what can be expected moving forward with a rotation comprised of Hamels-Blanton-Happ and some combination of Moyer/Martinez/Lopez?
Below are the ZiPS projections of the rotation during the rest of the season, followed by their combined totals. ZiPS “rest of season” projections are based on a player’s “true talent level”, which factors in his current performance so far this season, as well as his last three seasons.
1. Cole Hamels: Rest of Season: 6-3, 3.66 ERA. His average line during his remaining 14 starts will be: 6.2 IP, 6 H, 2-3 ER, 2 BB, 6 K.
Final season stats: 11-8, 4.22 ERA, 194 IP, 174 K, 1.26 WHIP.
2. Joe Blanton: Rest of Season: 5-5, 4.90 ERA. Average line over remaining 14 starts: 6 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 1-2 BB, 4 K.
Final season stats: 11-9, 4.64 ERA, 182.1 IP, 150 K, 1.38 WHIP.
3. J.A. Happ: Rest of Season: 3-3, 5.10 ERA. Average line over remaining starts: 5.2 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 2-3 BB, 5 K.
Final season stats: 10-3, 3.62 ERA, 154 IP, 114 K, 1.29 WHIP. (It should be noted that his K/9 rate is projected to rise from 6.22 to 7.35 the rest of the way.)
4. Jamie Moyer: Rest of Season: 5-6, 5.01 ERA. Average line over remaining starts: 5.2 IP, 6-7 H, 3 ER, 1 BB, 3 K.
Final season stats: 14-12, 5.33 ERA, 180.2 IP, 107 K, 1.41 WHIP.
5. Rodrigo Lopez: Rest of Season: 1-3, 5.54 ERA. Average line over remaining starts: 6.1 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 5 K.
Final season stats: 3-3, 4.36 ERA, 43.1 IP, 32 K, 1.38 WHIP. It’s safe to say that ZiPS doesn’t think Lopez will remain in this rotation much longer.
No data is available yet for Pedro Martinez.
According to PECOTA, if the Phillies were to stand pat, they would finish the season 92-70, six games ahead of the Braves, and twelve ahead of the Marlins and Mets. They would have a 76% chance of winning the division, and an 80% chance of reaching the playoffs with this rotation.
If Halladay were to come to the Phillies in a deal not involving J.A. Happ, Lopez/Martinez would likely be removed from the rotation. Since Lopez is the definition of a “replacement player” and Martinez will likely be the same, we can accurately quantify how much better the Phillies would be with Halladay, using his WARP (Wins over Replacement Player.)
During the rest of the season, a replacement-level pitcher (Lopez/Martinez) is projected to give up 59 runs over 92 IP. Halladay is projected to give up 29 runs over those same 92 IP. Using the win probability formula, those thirty runs are worth three wins (the rough formula is ten runs = one win.) But for great pitchers like Halladay, that rough formula changes, and a rate of 7.5 runs = one win is more accurate. And to top it off, the 29 runs Halladay is projected to allow would almost certainly decrease if he made the switch to the NL, an easier league for pitchers. So the final win increase would be closer to four.
The conclusion to all of that? The addition of Halladay without the subtraction of Happ would change the Phillies PECOTA projection from 92-70 to 96-66, which would be better than every other major league team except the Dodgers. The Phillies would be a near-lock for the playoffs, where Halladay would be in a position to prove his REAL worth.
But even if they don’t sell the farm for Doc, the Phillies are still in a position to match last season’s record and win the NL East handily.
Tra l'altro ha fatto una roba Blanton... battuta del Cub di turno, una groundball, Blanton girato prova a deviare la pallina con la gamba, gli esce fuori un colpo di tacco che serve perfettament Rollins per un doppio gioco Phillies.
Dodgers fan #7 wrote:
Tra l'altro ha fatto una roba Blanton... battuta del Cub di turno, una groundball, Blanton girato prova a deviare la pallina con la gamba, gli esce fuori un colpo di tacco che serve perfettament Rollins per un doppio gioco Phillies.
Assolutamente
Dimmi l'inning che vado a vederlo
Ragazzo, quando partecipi a un evento sportivo quello che conta non è vincere o perdere, ma quanto ti ubriachi
Non me lo ricordo, mi spiace. Io l'ho beccato su Baseball Tonight e non ci ho fatto caso sinceramente. Dovrebbe essere la prima metà di gara, nel condensed dovresti trovarlo.
chiudiamo la striscia di W a 10, perdiamo contro un ottimo pitcher Zambrano ( bravo anche con la mazza e ciò mi fa impazzire!), dei nostri lanciatori........beh quest'anno il trio Moyer,Durbin e Disastro non paga mai la Tris!
cmq non possiamo sempre vincere! sotto coi Padres da domani!
ps: Renè quando vuoi/ puoi mi piacerebbe leggere un tuo commento su basi statistiche del Lidge di quest'anno, grazie in anticipo!
Parlo,parliamo tanto di trade per un partente, ma chi potrebbe affossare le ns velleità è il ruolo di closer!
from Philliesnation.com: Phillies Trade Thread: July 22Posted by Pat Gallen, Wed, July 22, 2009 07:33 PMRoy Halladay:
-There had been rumors abound that the Blue Jays were imposing a July 28 trade deadline on their ace, due to the fact that Halladay is scheduled to pitch on the 29th. Ricciardi said if the deadline is not a concrete date, according to Jayson Stark of ESPN.com.
-According to the Chicago Sun-Times, the Jays turned down an offer by the White Sox for Halladay on Tuesday. Chicago GM Ken Williams has admitted they are looking to upgrade, and he has been known to be far from gun-shy at the deadline.
-Ken Rosenthal believes the Dodgers need to jump in on the Halladay sweepstakes because they are getting far fewer innings out of their starters than they should. Joe Torre is overworking his bullpen, which bodes well for the rest of the NL down the stretch.
-Toronto GM J.P. Ricciardi believes that talks will heat up next week for Doc.
-Blue Jays scouts will be on hand in Altoona tonight to watch Kyle Drabek pitch for Double-A Reading, even though the Phillies have put him on the untouchable list.
-ESPN.com’s Tim Kurkjian does not believe a deal will get done because of Toronto’s ridiculously high demands.
Cliff Lee:
-According to Gordon Edes of Y! Sports, the Phillies and Dodgers were among those in attendance watching Cliff Lee on Tuesday night. Lee pitched a complete game in the Indians 2-1 win over the Blue Jays. It’s wise for the Phillies to look at Lee as a fallback option, now that signals are being sent about Halladay staying put.
Rodrigo Lopez:
-Within that same Rosenthal article, he pushes the point that Rodrigo Lopez could be dealt around the deadline to unload his $650,000 salary. Lopez has proven he can still pitch and if the Phils believe Pedro Martinez is the answer, he could be on his way out.
Other Pitching:
-Also within that Edes post, he believes that everyone is up for grabs in Pittsburgh. Zach Duke was among those named, and the lefty has proven to the Phillies he could be a viable option. Duke pitched a complete game against the Phils back on July 10 and has 8 wins with a 3.38 ERA this year. With Nate McLouth and Adam LaRoche already changing zips, anything is possible for the Pirates.
cmq alla Dead Line manca davvero poco, vedremo, commenteremo.....
Last edited by Phillies on 23/07/2009, 12:28, edited 1 time in total.
Phillies wrote:
ps: Renè quando vuoi/ puoi mi piacerebbe leggere un tuo commento su basi statistiche del Lidge di quest'anno, grazie in anticipo!
Non c'è molto da dire, fa schifo in ogni settore. In particolare sta lasciando la palla troppo alta e lancia relativamente pochi strike. Ha completamente perso il comando dei lanci.
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