Spree wrote:
Non capisco tutta questa depressione per il quarto di Finale Nadal - Murray. Lo scozzese non sarà bello da vedere come Gasqut, ma non sono così sicuro che sia meno efficace.
Anzi, direi il contrario: Gasquet ha più
mescalina nel braccio, ma Murray è un giocatore più definito e maturo. Gasquet su 5 set non ha IMHO una singola chanche di battere un cagnaccio come Nadal, mentre Murray almeno cercherà di rimanere attaccato alla partita; ma temo che neppure lui potrà evitare di essere travolto dall'onda maiorchina che pare inarrestabile. Contro Gasquet Murray ha tenuto per oltre due set percentuali di prima palla davvero basse, ed in tutto ha concesso 18 palle break al francese. Numeri improponibili contro Nadal.
Due pallide speranza per chi si aspetta di vedere lotta tra lo scozzese e il numero 2 del mondo:
- Murray è uno che usa il campo non soltanto in ampiezza, ma anche in profondità, con utilizzo della palla corta e di palle di diverso peso; pur non essendo un muscolare, ha il modo di far correre lo spagnolo, ma non solo: anche di costringerlo a cambiare impugnature, a pensare.
- Murray, specialmente con il rovescio, non disdegna di attaccare la seconda dell'avversario, tattica a mio parere indispensabile per battere Nadal.
Detto questo, mi sorprenderebbe un risultato diverso da un 7-6 6-4 6-3 per lo spagnolo. Forse sono troppo severo con Andy che potrebbe riuscire a strappare un set, ma di più mi pare impensabile.
Da atp.com
As Wimbledon draws closer to the second week of action, five-time defending champion Roger Federer and two-time runner-up Rafael Nadal are on a collision course to meet for a third consecutive year. The last time the same players reached the Wimbledon finals three straight years was from 1988-90 when Stefan Edberg defeated Boris Becker in two of the three ('88, '90).
ATPtennis.com caught up with 15 former Wimbledon champions this week to get their final picks for this year's championship (listed in chronological order). The group's consensus is that either Federer or Nadal will win the title.
Goran Ivanisevic, 2001 Champion
* Winner: Federer
"It's going to be the same final and it will be Federer again."
Pete Sampras, 1993-95, '97-2000 Champion
* Winner: Federer
"He's (Roger) still the guy most likely to win the majors. He's lost a couple but if anything that'll do him some good, it'll get him fired up."
Richard Krajicek, 1996 Champion
* Winner: Nadal
"Nadal will win. Last year he already chances with twice 15-40 in the fifth set. This year he is ready to go all the way, because he knows after last year that he can beat Federer on grass. After winning the French in such impressive fashion and winning Queen's, he is more confident then ever."
Michael Stich, 1991 Champion
* Winner: Federer
"Federer will win the title because he is starting to play really
well again and has won the title five times in a row already."
Stefan Edberg, 1988 & 1990 Champion
* Winner: Federer
"Federer will win the title because he's the best grass court player and wants the sixth title badly!"
Boris Becker, 1985-86, '89 Champion
* Winner: Roger Federer or Rafael Nadal
"The better player will win."
Pat Cash, 1987 Champion
* Winner: Nadal
"To be honest I really don't have a favorite but I think Nadal. I feel he's a better player than last year and he was very very close in the final as we know."
John McEnroe, 1981, '83-84 Champion
* Winner: Federer
"I still pick Federer and I would be surprised if anyone else would beat Roger except Rafa."
Bjorn Borg, 1976-80 Champion
* Winner: Nadal
"I am sure he (Nadal) will, after losing such a match, be eager to come back and take the title. Last year's final was fantastic and Nadal was unlucky not to win, he had his chances."
Jan Kodes, 1973 Champion
* Winner: Federer
"Nadal has improved his serve this year and he's physically stronger
than last year and I wouldn't be surprised if he won but Roger is more
confident on the surface. It's going to be harder than last year, and difficult to guess. I wouldn't be surprised if Nadal won but to pick a champion, I would pick Federer."
Stan Smith, 1972 Champion
* Winner: Nadal
"Nadal will win because he has improved his serve so Roger can't attack it. He is also putting more pressure on Roger by coming in more effectively."
John Newcombe, 1967, '70-71 Champion
* Winner: Nadal
"Nadal will win the title. He is playing better this year than last year and Federer is not playing as well. Last year Nadal almost beat him in the final."
Rod Laver, 1961-62, '68-69 Champion
* Winner: Federer
"Roger will be in the final and I have a feeling Roddick will get to the final. I think Roger will be the eventual winner. Nadal is going to be tough but the big serve of Roddick will help him pull it off."
Tony Trabert, 1955 Champion
* Winner: Federer
"I think Roger hasn't had a great first half of the year but he's comfortable on this surface and he will find a way to win. Obviously Nadal played a great match last year but I think Federer will get through. He's trying to prove everyone wrong."
Jack Kramer, 1947 Champion
* Winner: Federer
"It would be hard to discount the champion, who is not going away lightly. Unless someone like a Safin can take him out before the final, Federer really must be considered the favorite to repeat. Against Nadal in a grass court final, Roger will definitely be focused on demonstrating who is the boss."
Kraijceek e Cash traditori. :lol2:
A parte gli scherzi, lo spagnolo è anche il mio favorito; al di là delle dichiarazioni di facciata, temo che l'asfaltata subita a Parigi abbia ormai scavato un canyon psicologico negli H2H non più colmabile. E Nadal sta giocando meravigliosamente.